alterego
03-08 05:15 PM
I agree that now their spillover policy is more horizontal than vertical.
Your numbers on EB India visas are fairly close to accurate. 2008 will be very skewed in EB India's direction. It is just that the demand is even more greater than that.
Those H1b numbers for last year were really an eye opener for me. Sadly unless they decide to treat those issues in tandem, ie cap both or uncap both, this issue is only destined to get worse, recession or no recession.
On your point about the data not backing up people returning, that issue is multi-dimentional. Sure, if you have come here laid down roots, bought a house, have kids in school etc, you will have a higher tolerance for this crap, but we are in a new phase here, where we have people who came here legally and are now seeing unprecedented retrogression in EB immigration. There is no precedent for this in EB immigration, even pre-Ac21 the retrogression was not as severe. When was the last time EB2 had sustained retrogression over 5 yrs for that long? EB3 for 8 yrs sustained? Additionally those factors I mentioned are real, US citizen kids, eligibility for benefits base on accumulated SS credits etc. The US will eventually have to come to terms with those issues as will the immigrants.
Also newer immigrants will have reason for pause in their decisions. Some(the best ones) may not come, others that come will repatriate their savings, will not buy homes, etc. All of that represents behavior that would not be in the US interest. Of course I am not sure US lawmakers think that deep, but just saying.
Your numbers on EB India visas are fairly close to accurate. 2008 will be very skewed in EB India's direction. It is just that the demand is even more greater than that.
Those H1b numbers for last year were really an eye opener for me. Sadly unless they decide to treat those issues in tandem, ie cap both or uncap both, this issue is only destined to get worse, recession or no recession.
On your point about the data not backing up people returning, that issue is multi-dimentional. Sure, if you have come here laid down roots, bought a house, have kids in school etc, you will have a higher tolerance for this crap, but we are in a new phase here, where we have people who came here legally and are now seeing unprecedented retrogression in EB immigration. There is no precedent for this in EB immigration, even pre-Ac21 the retrogression was not as severe. When was the last time EB2 had sustained retrogression over 5 yrs for that long? EB3 for 8 yrs sustained? Additionally those factors I mentioned are real, US citizen kids, eligibility for benefits base on accumulated SS credits etc. The US will eventually have to come to terms with those issues as will the immigrants.
Also newer immigrants will have reason for pause in their decisions. Some(the best ones) may not come, others that come will repatriate their savings, will not buy homes, etc. All of that represents behavior that would not be in the US interest. Of course I am not sure US lawmakers think that deep, but just saying.
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ramaskar
10-03 06:08 PM
Got all 3 RNs for Dependent (wife) But Not Mine (primary). Any one in the same boat.
gondalguru
07-02 09:01 AM
On AILA site...
"Just Posted -
Follow-up to Update on July Visa Availability"
Does anyone have quick access through their attorney to check what it says?
That thing is there for quite some time now... like more than a day. nothin new about it. just search the forums and you will be able to see what it says.
"Just Posted -
Follow-up to Update on July Visa Availability"
Does anyone have quick access through their attorney to check what it says?
That thing is there for quite some time now... like more than a day. nothin new about it. just search the forums and you will be able to see what it says.
2011 South Korea was an island.
gk_2000
11-18 01:25 PM
I also suggest partnering up with Reform Immigration For America as they have large numbers of supporters as well. I urge core IV members to contact them as time is short for us
.. confirming that I have sent the faxes for myself and for whole family
.. confirming that I have sent the faxes for myself and for whole family
more...
makemygc
05-23 08:20 AM
Sent to all..keep sending email guys...dont get into argument right now.
viveckj99
10-02 06:58 PM
I am adding my name in the list.Filed on July 16 at Nebraska signed by R Pitcher,till now no Receipt.
Thank you "Lutherpraveen" for info. I will react on this situation after OCT 10th (traveling right now). I will contact my lawyer and see what can be done. Keep posted on whatz happening..
here is list of July 3rd at 9:03 received by R.William-- If you are still waiting then please add your name
lutherpraveen
PDOCT05
i99
helpme1234
kingnaga
waitforgc123
Rohan99
gclongwaytogo
cool_cat
sivanu
GKBest
viveckj99
If we hear nothing then we may have to take collective action. If any of you guys receive RN plz update as ASAP.
Thank you "Lutherpraveen" for info. I will react on this situation after OCT 10th (traveling right now). I will contact my lawyer and see what can be done. Keep posted on whatz happening..
here is list of July 3rd at 9:03 received by R.William-- If you are still waiting then please add your name
lutherpraveen
PDOCT05
i99
helpme1234
kingnaga
waitforgc123
Rohan99
gclongwaytogo
cool_cat
sivanu
GKBest
viveckj99
If we hear nothing then we may have to take collective action. If any of you guys receive RN plz update as ASAP.
more...
arunmohan
09-10 01:31 AM
There is nothing change in the next bulletin. What you saw from the last couple of bulletins "Unavailable". That should be happened with in few months. This is my opinion. I am not blaming any body. This is the real situation going on from the last couple of years bulletins.[/QUOTE]
If we just keep watching the visa bulletin every month, there would be no change. We will see November 2001 in next couple of months after that it will become "U" again. We got to do something and we need guidance and direction from IV.
If we just keep watching the visa bulletin every month, there would be no change. We will see November 2001 in next couple of months after that it will become "U" again. We got to do something and we need guidance and direction from IV.
2010 Map of North and South Korea
GCcomesoon
11-06 02:51 PM
Hi
I have opened up 2 SR's & have taken 2 info-passes till now but I haven't received my FP yet.
GCcomesoon
Priority date - 05/2003
140 approved - 10/2006 from TSC
485,131,765 RD-6/04/2007 at TSC, notices received - 06/07/2007
CA, EB2
Wife's case returned due to some error,send it again & received on 06/17/2007 as per Fedex
Wife's case RD- 7/10/2007
LUD in my case - I131 - 7/10/07, approved - 7/24/07
LUD in my case - 1131,485,765, - 7/11/07
LUD in spouse's case - I131-7/11/07
EAD cleared for spouse - 08/20/07
FP for spouse - 08/08/07 , I rescheduled it.
FP scheduled - 10/03/07 - Done
AP approved for spouse - 09/12/07
EAD aproved - 10/25/2007 - for me
FP for me- ??????
Thanks
GCcomesoon
I have opened up 2 SR's & have taken 2 info-passes till now but I haven't received my FP yet.
GCcomesoon
Priority date - 05/2003
140 approved - 10/2006 from TSC
485,131,765 RD-6/04/2007 at TSC, notices received - 06/07/2007
CA, EB2
Wife's case returned due to some error,send it again & received on 06/17/2007 as per Fedex
Wife's case RD- 7/10/2007
LUD in my case - I131 - 7/10/07, approved - 7/24/07
LUD in my case - 1131,485,765, - 7/11/07
LUD in spouse's case - I131-7/11/07
EAD cleared for spouse - 08/20/07
FP for spouse - 08/08/07 , I rescheduled it.
FP scheduled - 10/03/07 - Done
AP approved for spouse - 09/12/07
EAD aproved - 10/25/2007 - for me
FP for me- ??????
Thanks
GCcomesoon
more...
kunjirs
02-26 09:39 AM
Was not active on the forum for long time. Visited the forum for a question and came to know about Advocacy Days in Washington DC. Will not be able to attend due to family commitments. Thanks you all for your efforts for this event.
Contributed $50; receipt number for this payment is: 4235-8095-3773-3845. I will also check to see if I have any air miles.
Contributed $50; receipt number for this payment is: 4235-8095-3773-3845. I will also check to see if I have any air miles.
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h1bmajdoor
07-07 08:55 PM
On CNBC:
Something to chew over -- this is a Secretary of State who won't even admit to major blunders in Iraq, she is not about to admit they screwed up on this.
but she's right. the US immigration law is extremely detailed and totally unforgiving. the country quotas being applied to employment visas looks like some lawyer gone overboard with putting constraints while writing the law, but now it is the law, and they don't change laws here unless there are votes or lot of money involved.
that's the way it is written... you should have figured that out before coming here :(
do you remember the case of the councilwoman who is about to be deported because she came to the US as a 1 year old and never got citizenship - and got elected/voted?
now where will a person go after deportation, who came here when 1 year old?
but she is screwed. the immigration law is totally unforgiving.
Something to chew over -- this is a Secretary of State who won't even admit to major blunders in Iraq, she is not about to admit they screwed up on this.
but she's right. the US immigration law is extremely detailed and totally unforgiving. the country quotas being applied to employment visas looks like some lawyer gone overboard with putting constraints while writing the law, but now it is the law, and they don't change laws here unless there are votes or lot of money involved.
that's the way it is written... you should have figured that out before coming here :(
do you remember the case of the councilwoman who is about to be deported because she came to the US as a 1 year old and never got citizenship - and got elected/voted?
now where will a person go after deportation, who came here when 1 year old?
but she is screwed. the immigration law is totally unforgiving.
more...
desi3933
06-27 02:00 PM
I asked my employer if they would tune the clauses to "1 yr after EAD" but they said NO - "it will be 1 yr after GC"
They also told me over phone that they have the capability of revoking
140 and complaining against me to INS if i try to leave before getting the actual GC.
Can they do that - after 6 months they lose that control - Right ??
Employer can revoke I-140 anytime until I-485 is approved. After 180 calendar days of I-485 filing date, employee can continue I-485 seeking AC-21 protection . Employee must have open permanent job offer from another employer. The new job must be same or similar.
>> complaining against me to INS if i try to leave before getting the actual GC.
LoL. He is not even aware of the law. Employee is required join AFTER getting the green card, not before.
Not a legal advice.
----------------------------------
Green Card holder since May 2002
desi3933 at gmail.com
They also told me over phone that they have the capability of revoking
140 and complaining against me to INS if i try to leave before getting the actual GC.
Can they do that - after 6 months they lose that control - Right ??
Employer can revoke I-140 anytime until I-485 is approved. After 180 calendar days of I-485 filing date, employee can continue I-485 seeking AC-21 protection . Employee must have open permanent job offer from another employer. The new job must be same or similar.
>> complaining against me to INS if i try to leave before getting the actual GC.
LoL. He is not even aware of the law. Employee is required join AFTER getting the green card, not before.
Not a legal advice.
----------------------------------
Green Card holder since May 2002
desi3933 at gmail.com
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neelu
05-23 01:23 PM
Sorry Guys........wrongly posted my 'called senators' in this thread.
Thanks Amit.
Thanks Amit.
more...
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tempgc
07-02 09:15 AM
My usps status is as below, anyone in the same state ? Don't know when will they deliver it.
Status: Arrival at Unit
Your item arrived at 11:38 PM on July 1, 2007 in LINCOLN, NE 68501. Information, if available, is updated every evening. Please check again later.
Status: Arrival at Unit
Your item arrived at 11:38 PM on July 1, 2007 in LINCOLN, NE 68501. Information, if available, is updated every evening. Please check again later.
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phillyag
08-25 06:38 AM
The Last updated date for my I -485 application is showing as 8/24/2010 now.
What does that mean ?
What does that mean ?
more...
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vikramy
05-23 01:48 PM
Sent Emails to all including 2 AZ senators
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waitnwatch
06-20 01:21 AM
I have a fundamental question here. What exactly has to happen to actually say that the CIR has died? Will the house have to vote and kill it? I guess there are no legal time lines for a bill to lapse - or is there one? Does the bill automatically die when the present congress' term ends?
Could anybody more knowledgeable than me throw some light.
Could anybody more knowledgeable than me throw some light.
more...
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english_august
07-09 11:13 AM
I guess I saw a mistake on the writing....
On July 13th, 2007, DoS provided a glimmer of hope to these aspiring legal immigrants, by announcing in their visa bulletin (http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_3258.html) that all Employment-based green card applicants and their dependents would be eligible to apply for their Green cards, during the month of July 2007
It is June 13th not July13th the first visa bulletin sent out by DoS.
Thanks
Chandra
Thanks arumalla. I will fix it right away.
On July 13th, 2007, DoS provided a glimmer of hope to these aspiring legal immigrants, by announcing in their visa bulletin (http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_3258.html) that all Employment-based green card applicants and their dependents would be eligible to apply for their Green cards, during the month of July 2007
It is June 13th not July13th the first visa bulletin sent out by DoS.
Thanks
Chandra
Thanks arumalla. I will fix it right away.
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p7810456
05-23 10:25 AM
Already emailed all the senators in the list.. including faxes to two of my state Senators, FL. Also.. going to call few in the afternoon.
I hope this works..
I hope this works..
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pappu
11-17 02:58 PM
Please contact members of congress by clicking on the action alert below.
It will only take less than a minute for you. We are requesting adding amendments in the DREAM Act coming up. This campaign will help the DC advocacy work we are doing on this bill.
ImmigrationVoice.org - Advocacy -- DREAM Act: Help the Legal Immigrants (http://immigrationvoice.capwiz.com/immigrationvoice/issues/alert/?alertid=19787501)
Please spread the word everywhere for more participation
Please post on this thread once you have sent the email. Keep this thread up for the next few days.
In addition to sending the emails to the lawmakers, please take the next steps needed to get our provisions included in the Dream Act:
1. Take appointments and meet with lawmakers explaining our provisions to the lawmakers and the need to add them to dream act. Focus on the specific message of the action alert. Following up with the email alert is a powerful advocacy tool and crucial to the success of this campaign. If you have taken an appointment, please contact IV at 202-386-6250.
2. For members who have already established a relation with the staff members in the lawmaker offices, please contact them and explain our provisions to be included in the dream act. Focus on the specific message of the action alert.
3. Send the feedback from the meetings to http://immigrationvoice.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=98&Itemid=132
4. Become a volunteer to spread the message about this action alert. Simply clicking on the link above does not complete our task - it only begins the task of grass-roots advocacy. Convince your friends, colleagues to get involved in the above tasks. Numbers Matter. Use the attached flier and post it at all indian/asian malls, theaters and other hubs to help spread the message. Also include the flier in your signature.
Spread the word Flier (http://immigrationvoice.org/wiki/images/3/39/Flier_DR_v2.pdf)
It will only take less than a minute for you. We are requesting adding amendments in the DREAM Act coming up. This campaign will help the DC advocacy work we are doing on this bill.
ImmigrationVoice.org - Advocacy -- DREAM Act: Help the Legal Immigrants (http://immigrationvoice.capwiz.com/immigrationvoice/issues/alert/?alertid=19787501)
Please spread the word everywhere for more participation
Please post on this thread once you have sent the email. Keep this thread up for the next few days.
In addition to sending the emails to the lawmakers, please take the next steps needed to get our provisions included in the Dream Act:
1. Take appointments and meet with lawmakers explaining our provisions to the lawmakers and the need to add them to dream act. Focus on the specific message of the action alert. Following up with the email alert is a powerful advocacy tool and crucial to the success of this campaign. If you have taken an appointment, please contact IV at 202-386-6250.
2. For members who have already established a relation with the staff members in the lawmaker offices, please contact them and explain our provisions to be included in the dream act. Focus on the specific message of the action alert.
3. Send the feedback from the meetings to http://immigrationvoice.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=98&Itemid=132
4. Become a volunteer to spread the message about this action alert. Simply clicking on the link above does not complete our task - it only begins the task of grass-roots advocacy. Convince your friends, colleagues to get involved in the above tasks. Numbers Matter. Use the attached flier and post it at all indian/asian malls, theaters and other hubs to help spread the message. Also include the flier in your signature.
Spread the word Flier (http://immigrationvoice.org/wiki/images/3/39/Flier_DR_v2.pdf)
lfadgyas
09-10 12:19 AM
Folks it has been long time I last wrote here � but this visa bulletin made me mad (sorry)
So I went and downloaded all the FLCDataCenter.com (http://www.flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx) data from 2000 till 2008. It looks like they recorded all the pre �perm cases as well. After this I exported all the stuff into mysql table and made some calculation on the labor certification data. Unfortunately cannot separate (e1,e2,e3 etc � some may want to try by country but �)
Again this is PERM � labor certification!!1 - but has to do with GC I guess...
Time frame 1999 Oct -2008 Oct:
Sum of cases: 720486, like '%CERT%' = 554635 (certified), like '%Deni%'= 60043 (denials), (Non duplicate case numbers were = 715191 (i.e. 5295 duplicates only from the 720486) )
There were ~100000 cases with some other �state� descriptions like Withdrawn = 13955, Received Regional Office = 69556 etc;
Anyway, by grouped years it comes to (sum � certified + denials +etc):
last action date with "null" entry ?? 34113
between '1999-10-01' and '2000-10-01' 74048
between '2000-10-01' and '2001-10-01' 82629
between '2001-10-01' and '2002-10-01' 89524
between '2002-10-01' and '2003-10-01' 95552
between '2003-10-01' and '2004-10-01' 98866
between '2004-10-01' and '2005-10-01' 6153
between '2005-10-01' and '2006-10-01' 79939
between '2006-10-01' and '2007-10-01' 98927
between '2007-10-01' and '2008-10-01' 61997
Guess work (nbr of labor certs are 10% less in each group � denials are not removed):
Still wait - % how many of that group still waiting � (some can give a better guess??)
Family x � one applicant will present 2.5 visa nbrs or so�.
Group Labor cert family x still wait 140000<-as of today
between '1999-10-01' and '2000-10-01' 74048 2.5 4% 7404.8 132595.2
between '2000-10-01' and '2001-10-01' 82629 2.5 9% 18591.53 114003.675
between '2001-10-01' and '2002-10-01' 89524 2.5 14% 31333.4 82670.275
between '2002-10-01' and '2003-10-01' 95552 2.5 19% 45387.2 37283.075
between '2003-10-01' and '2004-10-01' 98866 2.5 38% 93922.7 -56639.625
between '2004-10-01' and '2005-10-01' 6153 2.5 45% 6922.125 -63561.75
between '2005-10-01' and '2006-10-01' 79939 2.5 80% 159878 -223439.75
between '2006-10-01' and '2007-10-01' 98927 2.5 90% 222585.8 -446025.5
between '2007-10-01' and '2008-10-01' 61997 2.5 100% 154992.5 -601018
Do your calculation if you want �:eek:
So I went and downloaded all the FLCDataCenter.com (http://www.flcdatacenter.com/CasePerm.aspx) data from 2000 till 2008. It looks like they recorded all the pre �perm cases as well. After this I exported all the stuff into mysql table and made some calculation on the labor certification data. Unfortunately cannot separate (e1,e2,e3 etc � some may want to try by country but �)
Again this is PERM � labor certification!!1 - but has to do with GC I guess...
Time frame 1999 Oct -2008 Oct:
Sum of cases: 720486, like '%CERT%' = 554635 (certified), like '%Deni%'= 60043 (denials), (Non duplicate case numbers were = 715191 (i.e. 5295 duplicates only from the 720486) )
There were ~100000 cases with some other �state� descriptions like Withdrawn = 13955, Received Regional Office = 69556 etc;
Anyway, by grouped years it comes to (sum � certified + denials +etc):
last action date with "null" entry ?? 34113
between '1999-10-01' and '2000-10-01' 74048
between '2000-10-01' and '2001-10-01' 82629
between '2001-10-01' and '2002-10-01' 89524
between '2002-10-01' and '2003-10-01' 95552
between '2003-10-01' and '2004-10-01' 98866
between '2004-10-01' and '2005-10-01' 6153
between '2005-10-01' and '2006-10-01' 79939
between '2006-10-01' and '2007-10-01' 98927
between '2007-10-01' and '2008-10-01' 61997
Guess work (nbr of labor certs are 10% less in each group � denials are not removed):
Still wait - % how many of that group still waiting � (some can give a better guess??)
Family x � one applicant will present 2.5 visa nbrs or so�.
Group Labor cert family x still wait 140000<-as of today
between '1999-10-01' and '2000-10-01' 74048 2.5 4% 7404.8 132595.2
between '2000-10-01' and '2001-10-01' 82629 2.5 9% 18591.53 114003.675
between '2001-10-01' and '2002-10-01' 89524 2.5 14% 31333.4 82670.275
between '2002-10-01' and '2003-10-01' 95552 2.5 19% 45387.2 37283.075
between '2003-10-01' and '2004-10-01' 98866 2.5 38% 93922.7 -56639.625
between '2004-10-01' and '2005-10-01' 6153 2.5 45% 6922.125 -63561.75
between '2005-10-01' and '2006-10-01' 79939 2.5 80% 159878 -223439.75
between '2006-10-01' and '2007-10-01' 98927 2.5 90% 222585.8 -446025.5
between '2007-10-01' and '2008-10-01' 61997 2.5 100% 154992.5 -601018
Do your calculation if you want �:eek:
vrkgali
03-26 11:13 AM
My PD is Sep 2002. There are different limits:
Break even limit
Fatigue limit
Endurance limit
I am on last one :)
Ditto here..My PD also sept2002 .
And my I-140 also pending for the past 19 months..
and I dont know what limit I should cross before I get GC ..
may be the country limits and go back to India.
Break even limit
Fatigue limit
Endurance limit
I am on last one :)
Ditto here..My PD also sept2002 .
And my I-140 also pending for the past 19 months..
and I dont know what limit I should cross before I get GC ..
may be the country limits and go back to India.
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